Climate Policy Engagement: Ford receives a grade of C in InfluenceMap’s assessment of corporate engagement on climate change policy, indicating mixed engagement with Paris-aligned policy.
Forecasted 2029 Production: Data from S&P Global Mobility forecasts that by 2029 39% of Ford's production will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs), alongside 3% plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), 43% ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles, 15% hybrids and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs).
This compares negatively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario, which estimates that 57.5% of all globally produced cars must be either BEV or FCEV by 2030 to meet the 1.5°C global temperature goal.
The graphic below compares the company’s climate policy engagement score with the company’s forecasted percentage production of zero-emission vehicles by 2029 (independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data). The bubble size represents the relative proportion of vehicle production compared to other major global automakers.
Climate Lobbying Overview: Ford Motor is actively engaged on climate policy with mixed but increasingly positive engagement. In 2021-22, Ford has supported an EU zero-emissions CO2 2035 target for light-duty vehicles and appeared to support higher-range US federal GHG emissions standards for light-duty vehicles, while taking an unclear position on the US state-level Advanced Clean Cars rule and opposing a UK zero-emission vehicle mandate.
Ford's full climate policy engagement profile is available here.
Internal decarbonization targets: Ford has set a target of achieving "carbon neutrality globally by 2050". In March 2022, Ford set internal targets to produce more than 2 million EV annually by 2026, representing around a third of all global production, rising to half by 2030. In March 2022, Ford also announced that all new car and van sales in Europe will be battery electric, zero-emission vehicles by 2035, following a February 2021 announcement that all new cars sold in Europe in 2030 will be battery electric. At Ford’s first investor day under their new CEO in May 2022, Ford announced that it expects 40% of its sales volume globally to come from BEVs by 2030.
The vehicle production data for Ford Motor can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
Ford’s forecasted fleet composition by technology: In 2029, 39% of Ford’s production is forecast to be battery electric vehicles, compared to 2% in 2021. For plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), this increases marginally from 2% to 3% between 2021-2029, whereas for other hybrids, this increases from 8% in 2021 to 15% in 2029. For ICE vehicles, this decreases from 88% in 2021 to 43% in 2029. This is in contrast to the IEA’s 1.5°C road transport scenario, which requires 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 to be either BEV or FCEV to decarbonize road transport in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C goals.
The ‘Vehicle Technology’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted technology of vehicles produced by Ford from 2021-2029 using independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data.
Ford's forecasted vehicle size: The proportion of both SUVs and light commercial vehicles produced by Ford in its entire fleet between 2021-2029 is estimated to increase from 41% to 43% for SUVs, and 49% to 55% for light commercial vehicles. Forecasts estimate that Ford will sell a smaller proportion of large, medium-sized and small vehicles in 2029 compared to 2021, falling from 2% to 1% for large vehicles, 6% to 2% for medium-sized vehicles, and 2% to 0% for small vehicles. The AR6 WGIII report found that vehicle size plays a major role in determining vehicle emissions, with larger vehicles a significant driver of increased emissions.
The ‘Vehicle Size’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted future size of vehicles produced by Ford from 2021-2029 using independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data.
Ford’s zero-emission production & the IEA's 1.5°C scenario: Production data for Ford in 2029 forecasts that only 39% of all its vehicles will be battery-electric vehicles (BEVs), and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). This compares negatively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport, which assumes 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 will need to be zero-emission vehicles (BEVs or FCEVs) to reach global net-zero by 2050.
The below graph compares automakers’ previous and forecasted production of zero-emission vehicles (BEVs and FCEVs), with the trend line extrapolated from the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport in 2030.
The 'Fleet ZEV' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS, broken down by manufacturer, vehicle size, and technology type.
This model is not a definitive prediction of future emissions values for major vehicle manufacturers, but an estimation of future tailpipe emissions made using the best available emissions data. Future real-world emissions will likely vary depending on region, as well as granular differences between different vehicles that are not captured by the model. Additionally, as the model uses EU data, where produced cars typically have amongst the lowest CO2 emissions globally, it likely provides an underestimate of current and future CO2 emissions per manufacturer. Full details are available in the methodology.
The vehicle emissions data for Ford Motor, can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
The 'Fleet Efficiency' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS. The three lines represent the estimated lab emissions (modeled on EU testing data) and estimated real-world emissions (based on research from the ICCT) for the company, alongside the green line, representing the IEA's well below 2°C pathway in their Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) for road transport
The graph below compares the simplified emissions model data for the company from 2021-29, with other model data for other major global automakers.
