Renault receives a grade of D+ in InfluenceMap’s assessment of corporate engagement on climate change policy, indicating mixed engagement with Paris-aligned policy.
Forecasted 2029 Production: Data from S&P Global Mobility forecasts that by 2029 26% of Renault’s production will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs), alongside 3% plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), 30% ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles, 41% hybrids and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs).
This compares negatively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario, which estimates that 57.5% of all globally produced cars must be either BEV or FCEV by 2030 to meet the 1.5°C global temperature goal.
The graphic below compares the company’s climate policy engagement score with the company’s forecasted percentage production of zero-emission vehicles by 2029 (independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data). The bubble size represents the relative proportion of vehicle production compared to other major global automakers.
Climate Lobbying Overview: Renault appears to have mixed to negative engagement on climate change policy globally in 2020-21. While the company has stated top-line support for the Paris Agreement, it has also advocated for a delay to the EU's 2035 zero-emissions CO2 target to promote a longer-term role of hybrid sales and opposed a zero-emission vehicle mandate in New Zealand.
The full climate policy engagement profile of Renault is available here.
Internal decarbonization targets: Renault has set a target of reaching carbon neutrality in Europe by 2040 and globally by 2050. The company has also set an interim target of reducing its CO2 emissions in use (tailpipe and fuels production) by 50% by 2030 (2010 baseline) in Europe. The company has also pledged that "every new model launched under the Renault brand will be electric or electrified" by 2025. The company does not appear to have specified whether "electrified" includes hybrid vehicles. Renault is also a part of the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance, which announced a new platform in January 2022 to release 35 new EV cars in 2030 by sharing each other’s platforms.
The vehicle production data for Renault can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
Renault’s forecasted fleet composition by technology: In 2029, 26% of Renault’s production is forecast to be battery electric vehicles, compared to 7% in 2021. For plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), this increases from 1% to 3% between 2021-2029, whereas for other hybrids, this increases significantly from 6% to 41% in the same time period. For ICE vehicles, this decreases from 86% in 2021 to 30% in 2029. This is in contrast to the IEA’s 1.5°C road transport scenario, which requires 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 to be either BEV or FCEV to decarbonize road transport in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C goals.
The ‘Vehicle Technology’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted technology of vehicles produced by Renault from 2021-2029 using independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data.
Renault’s forecasted vehicle size: The proportion of light commercial vehicles, large and small vehicles produced by Renault in its entire fleet is estimated to decrease between 2021-2029 from 25% to 18% for light commercial vehicles, 1% to 0% for large vehicles, 40% to 34% for small vehicles. However, forecasts estimate that the proportion of SUVs between 2021 and 2029 will increase from 28% to 38% and medium-sized vehicles will increase from 6% to 10% in the same time period. The AR6 WGIII report found that vehicle size plays a major role in determining vehicle emissions, with larger vehicles a significant driver of increased emissions.
The ‘Vehicle Size’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted future size of vehicles produced by Renault from 2021-2029 using independent analysis of S&P Global Mobility data.
Renault’s zero-emission production & the IEA's 1.5°C scenario: Production data for Renault in 2029 forecasts that only 26% of all its vehicles will be battery-electric vehicles (BEVs), and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). This compares negatively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport, which assumes 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 will need to be zero-emission vehicles (BEVs or FCEVs) to reach global net-zero by 2050.
The below graph compares automakers’ previous and forecasted production of zero-emission vehicles (BEVs and FCEVs), with the trend line extrapolated from the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport in 2030.
The 'Fleet ZEV' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS, broken down by manufacturer, vehicle size, and technology type.
This model is not a definitive prediction of future emissions values for major vehicle manufacturers, but an estimation of future tailpipe emissions made using the best available emissions data. Future real-world emissions will likely vary depending on region, as well as granular differences between different vehicles that are not captured by the model. Additionally, as the model uses EU data, where produced cars typically have amongst the lowest CO2 emissions globally, it likely provides an underestimate of current and future CO2 emissions per manufacturer. Full details are available in the methodology.
The vehicle emissions data for Renault, can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
The 'Fleet Efficiency' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS. The three lines represent the estimated lab emissions (modeled on EU testing data) and estimated real-world emissions (based on research from the ICCT) for the company, alongside the green line, representing the IEA's well below 2 degree pathway in their Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) for road transport
The graph below compares the simplified emissions model data for the company from 2021-29, with other model data for other major global automakers.