Climate Policy Engagement: Mercedes-Benz receives a grade of D+ in InfluenceMap’s assessment of corporate engagement on climate change policy, indicating mixed engagement with Paris-aligned policy.
Forecasted 2029 Production: Data from IHS Markit forecasts that by 2029 56% of Mercedes-Benz's production will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs), alongside 10% plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), 2% ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicles, 31% hybrids and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs).
This compares positively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario, which estimates that 57.5% of all globally produced cars must be either BEV or FCEV by 2030 to meet the 1.5°C global temperature goal.
The graphic below compares the company’s climate policy engagement score with the company’s forecasted percentage production of zero-emission vehicles by 2029 (IHS Markit data). The bubble size represents the relative proportion of vehicle production compared to other major global automakers.
Climate Lobbying Overview: Mercedes-Benz AG has actively engaged with climate legislation in Europe and the United States in 2020-22 with mixed positioning. The company appears to show mixed to negative engagement on key climate policies for road transport, such as CO2 standards, while advocating for measures to support EV infrastructure expansion. Mercedes-Benz AG holds memberships to several highly regressive industry associations in Germany, the EU and US.
The full climate policy engagement profile of Mercedes-Benz is available here.
Internal decarbonization targets: Mercedes-Benz has set a target of making its "fleet of new cars CO₂-neutral by 2039." The company has set a target of achieving CO2 neutrality in its production by 2022 and its supply chain by 2039. The company has also set targets of offering "several electrified variants in all segments" by 2022, achieving "up to 25%" of sales from "all-electric" vehicles by 2025 and achieving "more than 50%" of sales from plug-in hybrids or all-electric vehicles by 2030."
The vehicle production data for Mercedes-Benz Group can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
Mercedes-Benz’s forecasted fleet composition by technology: In 2029, 56% of Mercedes-Benz’s production is forecast to be battery electric vehicles, compared to 1% in 2020. For plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), this rises from 7% in 2020 to 10% in 2029, and for other hybrids, from 21% to 31%. For ICE vehicles, this decreases drastically from 72% in 2020 to 2% in 2029. This compares positively with the IEA’s 1.5°C road transport scenario, which requires 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 to be either BEV or FCEV to decarbonize road transport in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C goals.
The ‘Vehicle Technology’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted technology of vehicles produced by Mercedes-Benz from 2020-2029 using IHS Markit data.
Mercedes-Benz's forecasted vehicle size: The proportion of SUVs produced by Mercedes-Benz in its entire fleet between 2020 and 2029 is estimated to increase marginally from 37% to 38%. Large vehicles are also expected to increase from 29% to 32% between 2020-2029. Medium vehicles are projected to decrease from 18% to 15% in the same time period, while light commercial vehicles and small vehicles are likely to remain the same at 16% and 0% respectively. The AR6 WGIII report found that vehicle size plays a major role in determining vehicle emissions, with larger vehicles a significant driver of increased emissions.
The ‘Vehicle Size’ graph below outlines the previous and forecasted future size of vehicles produced by Mercedes-Benz from 2020-2029 using IHS Markit data.
Mercedes-Benz’s zero-emission production & the IEA's 1.5°C scenario: Production data for Mercedes-Benz in 2029 forecasts that 56% of all its vehicles will be battery-electric vehicles (BEVs), and 0% fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). This compares positively to the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport, which assumes 57.5% of all light-duty vehicle sales in 2030 will need to be zero-emission vehicles (BEVs or FCEVs) to reach global net-zero by 2050.
The below graph compares automakers’ previous and forecasted production of zero-emission vehicles (BEVs and FCEVs), with the trend line extrapolated from the IEA’s 1.5°C scenario for road transport in 2030.
The 'Fleet ZEV' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS, broken down by manufacturer, vehicle size, and technology type.
This model is not a definitive prediction of future emissions values for major vehicle manufacturers, but an estimation of future tailpipe emissions made using the best available emissions data. Future real-world emissions will likely vary depending on region, as well as granular differences between different vehicles that are not captured by the model. Additionally, as the model uses EU data, where produced cars typically have amongst the lowest CO2 emissions globally, it likely provides an underestimate of current and future CO2 emissions per manufacturer. Full details are available in the methodology.
The vehicle emissions data for Mercedes-Benz Group, can be filtered by region using the dropdown below
The 'Fleet Efficiency' graph below provides a simplified model of the companies’ current and future emissions based on combining EU vehicle emissions data with forecasted light-duty vehicle production data supplied by IHS. The three lines represent the estimated lab emissions (modeled on EU testing data) and estimated real-world emissions (based on research from the ICCT) for the company, alongside the green line, representing the IEA's well below 2 degree pathway in their Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) for road transport
The graph below compares the simplified emissions model data for the company from 2021-29, with other model data for other major global automakers.